THRESHOLD LADDER
How many points a rank will take, before the results exist.

Fortnite cup cutoffs, forecast before and during every cup

Pick a cup of the week to see how many points each rank will take, the qualifying rank first, with a range measured on past cups - and the live board once it starts.

A tournament that is not in the list can be typed in by hand: name, region, format, and the scoring table from its rules.

How it works

Before a cup, the forecast starts from the same cup's recent editions in its region, corrected for the field, the entry bar and the season. A cup nobody has played yet is priced by replaying the region's recent leaderboards of the same format under its scoring table.

While the cup runs, its public standings are read every five minutes and weighed against the history: early readings count for little, and the forecast sharpens as the session goes.

Every forecast comes with a range measured on past cups, and every change to the model is tested on tournaments it had not seen before it ships.

1The tournament

Leave it empty and a plausible field is assumed. When a previous edition is read, a field typed in moves its number along the curve — up to a fifth when the field really changed, as when a cup opens to another rank tier; so type it when you know it.

2The scoring

What this rests on

3While it is running

Readings

Read the standings yourself: two or three ranks, and the forecast moves.